Predicting a General Election: A Science or an Art?

Predicting a General Election: A Science or an Art? At 10pm on the 8th June, the BBC will announce the outcome of their general election exit poll, widely recognised as a likely indication of how the electoral map will look the following morning. Political pundits, media outlets and even your next-door neighbour will likely allRead more

GE2017 battlegrounds: Can the Liberal Democrats bounce back in its traditional south west heartlands?

This is the fourth and final part of our blog series examining key battlegrounds in the 2017 General Election. Access the first, second and third parts here, here and here. Can the Liberal Democrats bounce back in its traditional south west heartlands, despite their pro-Remain stance? Much of the analysis of a Liberal Democrat revival so far has focusedRead more

GE2017 battlegrounds: Will the Liberal Democrats sweep up ‘Remain’ seats?

This is the third part of our blog series examining key battlegrounds in the 2017 General Election. Access the first and second parts here and here. Will the Liberal Democrats sweep up ‘Remain’ seats? It is little surprise that the Liberal Democrats are pursuing an election campaign focused purely on opposing Brexit. As the only UK-wide party unambiguously opposedRead more

General Election 2017: Who will the candidates be?

With current polling suggesting that the Conservative Party will win a significant number of seats at this General Election, the question on everyone’s minds is who will this new intake of MPs be? The selection process  The relatively short time scales and the unexpected timing of the election, mean that the defining characteristic of theRead more

Brexit means Brexit: What impact will the general election have on the UK’s exit from the EU?

No sooner had Theresa May called for a snap election than pundits began offering diametrically opposed interpretations of what it means for Brexit. What commentators forgot in the immediate aftermath of the announcement is that May is a careful, methodical and consistent politician. Her vision of what Brexit looks like was mapped out in herRead more

By-elections: what do they really tell us?

The importance of parliamentary by-elections can often be exaggerated by those observing – and winning – them. In reality, while the results can dominate news headlines for 24 hours, their longer term implications are usually more limited and they rarely fundamentally alter the political landscape. The leader of the Liberal Democrats Tim Farron claimed atRead more

The Liberal Democrats: the yellow phoenix rises?

The lacklustre battle for the future of the Labour party continues to make the news – in Westminster, at least. But tomorrow, another leadership announcement takes place. Either Norman Lamb or Tim Farron will be appointed leader of the Liberal Democrats, and will set out a plan to rebuild the party after its crushing defeatRead more